Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville (Canada) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday


	Benjamin Lock		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2	1.77
	1.98	1.77
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.58)	1.75 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
47%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benjamin Lock's form might have worsened.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Lock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Benjamin Lock - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lock will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lock is ranked ATP: 337. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 696.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Benjamin Lock - Matthias Uwe Kask	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.24	Benjamin Lock - Oliver Anderson	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Benjamin Lock - Lawrence Bataljin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Benjamin Lock - Dev Javia	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Benjamin Lock - Juan Jose Bianchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLW
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Kousuke Ogura - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.24	Liam Draxl - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Alvin Nicholas Tudorica	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Drew Van Orderlain	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

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