Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Benjamin Lock		Toufik Sahtali

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.18	Watch
	1.54	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.36
	1.61	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
58.6%

Toufik Sahtali
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Lock's performance.

Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toufik Sahtali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Benjamin Lock - Toufik Sahtali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lock is ranked ATP: 334., and Sahtali is ranked ATP: 570..

Sahtali is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lock may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lock has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Toufik Sahtali - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ITF Tournaments
30.09.26	Benjamin Lock - Rafael De Alba	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Remy Bertola - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.11.24	Benjamin Lock - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Benjamin Lock - Drew Van Orderlain	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Benjamin Lock - Alvin Nicholas Tudorica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
29.09.26	Mayank Sharma - Toufik Sahtali	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Patrick Brady - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Matthew Carroll - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Toufik Sahtali - Valentin Lapalu	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nicolas Jadoun - Toufik Sahtali	Sahtali T. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.05.22	Benjamin Lock - Toufik Sahtali	2:0

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