Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Gaiba (Italy), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Bernarda Pera		Aliona Falei

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.27	3.45	Watch
	1.29	3.71
	1.29	3.71
	1.29	3.5
	1.27	3.58	Watch
	1.27	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.46)	3.57 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernarda Pera
73.6%

Aliona Falei
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernarda Pera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernarda Pera's performance.

Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aliona Falei might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernarda Pera than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernarda Pera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliona Falei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bernarda Pera - Aliona Falei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pera is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernarda Pera
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Bernarda Pera - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Bernarda Pera - Suzan Lamens	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Daria Raimondo - Bernarda Pera	Canceled ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.24	Varvara Gracheva - Bernarda Pera	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Bernarda Pera - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL?LW
- Aliona Falei
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Aliona Falei - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.24	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Aliona Falei	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Martina Capurro Taborda - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Laura Cilekova - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Aliona Falei - Ella Seidel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

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