Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 23 September 2026, Wednesday
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Blu Baker |
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Lui Maxted |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 20.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Blu Baker 23.8% | Lui Maxted 76.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blu Baker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blu Baker's form might have worsened.Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lui Maxted's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blu Baker than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blu Baker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lui Maxted, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Blu Baker - Lui Maxted Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maxted (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Baker is ranked ATP: 1196., and Maxted is ranked ATP: 394..Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.Baker could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. Maxted carries the favorite tag into this contest. These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;