Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bologna, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Gabriele Bosio		Blu Baker

	1	2
	1.80	1.87
	1.76	1.95
	1.82	2
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	1.79	1.97
	1.79	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Bosio
51.5%

Blu Baker
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Bosio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Blu Baker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Bosio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blu Baker than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Gabriele Bosio - Blu Baker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bosio is ranked ATP: 693. Baker is ranked ATP: 1323.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bosio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Bosio
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Gabriele Bosio - Matteo Sabbatini	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Gabriele Bosio - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Denis Constantin Spiridon	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- Blu Baker
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Blu Baker - Manuel Plunger	Plunger M. Retired ✺
01.09.26	Samuele Seghetti - Blu Baker	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Blu Baker - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Leonardo Taddia - Blu Baker	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Blu Baker - Andrea de Marchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?WLWL

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