Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Bogdan Pavel		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
	2.3	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.61
	2.26	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogdan Pavel
41.1%

Marcello Serafini
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogdan Pavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogdan Pavel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Bogdan Pavel - Marcello Serafini Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pavel will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Serafini will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavel is ranked ATP: 745. Serafini is ranked ATP: 535.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pavel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogdan Pavel
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Bogdan Pavel - Petros Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Kasidit Samrej - Bogdan Pavel	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
13.02.25	Bogdan Pavel - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Rares Andrei Golescu - Bogdan Pavel	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Bogdan Pavel - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 W?LWL
- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Ioannis Kountourakis - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Marcello Serafini - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Marcello Serafini - Henri Haupt	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Marcello Serafini - Evangelos Kypriotis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.25	Marcello Serafini - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Bogdan Pavel - Marcello Serafini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide