Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Borna Gojo		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.59	2.4
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.95)	2.3 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Gojo
59.3%

Mitchell Krueger
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borna Gojo's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borna Gojo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Borna Gojo - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gojo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Krueger will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gojo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gojo is ranked ATP: 422. Krueger is ranked ATP: 146.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gojo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gojo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Gojo
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Borna Gojo - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Borna Gojo - Rudy Quan	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Borna Gojo - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Borna Gojo - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Luca Van Assche - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Mitchell Krueger - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Mitchell Krueger - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Mitchell Krueger - Yurii Dzhavakian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW

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