Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann		Fiona Ferro

	1	2
	2.9	1.34
	2.95	1.35
	2.97	1.36
	2.75	1.4
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.49)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
31.9%

Fiona Ferro
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caijsa Wilda Hennemann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caijsa Wilda Hennemann's form might have worsened.

Fiona Ferro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiona Ferro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caijsa Wilda Hennemann than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caijsa Wilda Hennemann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiona Ferro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiona Ferro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Fiona Ferro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hennemann is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ferro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferro is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Iryna Shymanovich - Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	2:1 ✺
15.03.23	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Vicky Van De Peer	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Zongyu Li	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Caijsa Wilda Hennemann - Maneva Rakotomalala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- Fiona Ferro
ITF Tournaments
22.03.23	Fiona Ferro - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Jessika Ponchet - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Heather Watson - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Katarina Stresnakova - Fiona Ferro	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Fiona Ferro - Cristiana Ferrando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW

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