Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KIGALI (RWANDA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: KIGALI (RWANDA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Calvin Hemery		Damian Wenger

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	2.57 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
63.8%

Damian Wenger
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Damian Wenger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damian Wenger than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Calvin Hemery - Damian Wenger Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Wenger will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wenger: 76.1% – 100%.

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Preview

Hemery is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wenger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wenger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hemery will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Calvin Hemery - David Pichler	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Calvin Hemery - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
04.02.24	Calvin Hemery - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
29.01.24	Calvin Hemery - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Maxime Cressy - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLL?
- Damian Wenger
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Luca Fantini - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.02.24	Johan Nikles - Damian Wenger	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Maxence Bertimon - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Giuseppe Tresca - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Damian Wenger - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Calvin Hemery - Damian Wenger

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Calvin Hemery - Damian Wenger Predictions

Preview

Form

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