Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		James Duckworth

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.75	1.4
	2.92	1.41
	2.85	1.43	Watch
	2.76	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)	1.41 (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
33.5%

James Duckworth
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - James Duckworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 92. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 81.

Ugo Carabelli is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Duckworth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Duckworth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Washington
29.07.24	David Goffin - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- James Duckworth
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Reilly Opelka - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	James Duckworth - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	James Duckworth - Mark Lajal	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	James Duckworth - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	James Duckworth - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

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