Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Thomaz Bellucci

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.43	2.55
	1.45	2.78
	1.46	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)	2.6 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
64%

Thomaz Bellucci
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Thomaz Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thomaz Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomaz Bellucci than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thomaz Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.5%	0%	48.5%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thomaz Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Bellucci will win (votes: 16 - 48.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 34.4% – 68.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bellucci will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
27.11.20	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
26.11.20	Christian Lindell - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
24.11.20	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Emilio Gomez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.10.20	Chun Hsin Tseng - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
20.10.20	Marvin Netuschil - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- Thomaz Bellucci
ATP Challenger
26.11.20	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Thomaz Bellucci	2:0 ✺
24.11.20	Thomaz Bellucci - Teymuraz Gabashvili	2:0 ✺
16.11.20	Thomaz Bellucci - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
13.11.20	Prajnesh Gunneswaran - Thomaz Bellucci	2:1 ✺
12.11.20	Teymuraz Gabashvili - Thomaz Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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