Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Xativa, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Carles Hernandez		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	2.50	1.45
	2.25	1.57
	2.61	1.51
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.49
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carles Hernandez
37.7%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carles Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carles Hernandez than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Carles Hernandez - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 727. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 626.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lopez Montagud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lopez Montagud could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Lopez Montagud - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carles Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
31.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Miguel Angel Machado	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Adam Lynch	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Reda Bennani - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
31.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Rodenas P. Retired ✺
30.07.26	Mario Arce Fernandez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Casanova H. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WWL?

Carles Hernandez - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide