Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Xativa, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Pedro Rodenas		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.56	2.25
	1.68	2.21
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.66	2.18
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Rodenas
56.7%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Rodenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Rodenas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodenas is ranked ATP: 786. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 626.

Rodenas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lopez Montagud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rodenas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rodenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Lopez Montagud - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Rodenas
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Marc Martin Roca	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Pavel Lagutin - Pedro Rodenas	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Pedro Rodenas - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Mario Arce Fernandez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Casanova H. Retired ✺
23.07.26	Carles Cordoba - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Rodenas P. retired
30.07.23	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0

Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide