Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Gandia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Carles Hernandez		Lucca Helguera Casado

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
			Watch
	1.68	2.1
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.73	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carles Hernandez
55%

Lucca Helguera Casado
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carles Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lucca Helguera Casado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carles Hernandez than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carles Hernandez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucca Helguera Casado than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucca Helguera Casado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 1001. Helguera Casado is ranked ATP: 1547.

Hernandez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Helguera Casado has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carles Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Carles Hernandez	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Carles Hernandez - Tighe Brunetti	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Bryan Hernandez Cortes - Carles Hernandez	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Carles Hernandez - Ewen Lumsden	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Carles Hernandez - Henry Jefferson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Lucca Helguera Casado
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Ignacio Parisca - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Mikel Martinez - Lucca Helguera Casado	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Miguel Damas - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Lucca Helguera Casado - Paul Woerner	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Lucca Helguera Casado - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Carles Hernandez - Lucca Helguera Casado: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide