Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Como 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.26
	1.65	2.27
	3.34	1.30	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
54.7%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 489. Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 211.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Caniato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Johan Nikles - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Tanguy Genier - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Timofey Stepanov - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Cannon Kingsley	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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