Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ljubljana, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)	2.25 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
58.6%

Sebastian Gima
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlo Alberto Caniato's performance.

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Gima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlo Alberto Caniato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Gima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caniato (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 842. Gima is ranked ATP: 683.

Caniato is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caniato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Mika Petkovic - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Sebastian Dominko - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Francesco Ferrari - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Sebastian Gima
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Marlon Vankan - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
28.05.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Gabriel Ghetu - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Sebastian Gima - Manvydas Balciunas	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Felix Balshaw - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW

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