Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lujan, clay - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Carlos Maria Zarate		Lucio Ratti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.51
	2.33	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.5
	2.41	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.03)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Maria Zarate
38.2%

Lucio Ratti
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Maria Zarate's form might have worsened.

Lucio Ratti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucio Ratti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Maria Zarate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucio Ratti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carlos Maria Zarate - Lucio Ratti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zarate is ranked ATP: 528. Ratti is ranked ATP: 468.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ratti could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Ratti will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zarate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Maria Zarate
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Tomas Martinez - Carlos Maria Zarate	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Juan Ignacio Gallego - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Ryan Dickerson - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWL
- Lucio Ratti
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Lucio Ratti - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Lucio Ratti - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Lucio Ratti - Dante Pagani	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Juan Estevez - Lucio Ratti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lucio Ratti	2:1
26.07.25	Lucio Ratti - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:1

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