Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Carlos Maria Zarate

	1	2
	1.40	2.75
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.72	Watch
	1.38	2.67
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
66.2%

Carlos Maria Zarate
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gonzalo Villanueva's performance.

Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Maria Zarate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Gonzalo Villanueva - Carlos Maria Zarate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 323., and Zarate is ranked ATP: 352..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Villanueva may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Villanueva is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWL
- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Valentino Grippo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW

Gonzalo Villanueva - Carlos Maria Zarate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide