Match Info

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Carol Zhao		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.42	1.57
	2.43	1.57
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.9)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carol Zhao
40.5%

Varvara Lepchenko
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carol Zhao's form might have worsened.

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Lepchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carol Zhao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Zhao is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lepchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lepchenko will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zhao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carol Zhao
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Carol Zhao - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.24	Maria Jose Portillo Ramirez - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Lea Ma - Carol Zhao	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Carol Zhao	Zhao C. retired ✺
WTA Austin
24.02.24	Sachia Vickery - Carol Zhao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLW?L
- Varvara Lepchenko
ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Sara Daavettila - Varvara Lepchenko	Lepchenko V. retired ✺
07.03.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Rasheeda Mcadoo	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Iva Jovic - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Allura Zamarripa - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.02.24	Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2
27.07.21	Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2

Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide