Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Chacabuco, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Carolina Alves		Dana Guzman

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.31
	1.28	3.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)	2.62 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
64.1%

Dana Guzman
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Alves's performance.

Dana Guzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dana Guzman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dana Guzman than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dana Guzman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carolina Alves - Dana Guzman Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guzman (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 239. Guzman is ranked WTA: 772.

Alves has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guzman is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Carolina Alves - Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Carolina Alves - Martina Capurro Taborda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Anastasia Bertacchi - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
13.07.25	Carolina Alves - Ilinca Dalina Amariei	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL
- Dana Guzman
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Dana Guzman - Natalia Sousa Salazar	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Dana Guzman - Luisina Giovannini	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Dana Guzman - Maria Florencia Urrutia	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Dana Guzman - Luiza Fullana	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Martina Capurro Taborda - Dana Guzman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

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