Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Carolina Alves		Diletta Cherubini

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.51	2.45
	1.48	2.54	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.54	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	2.45 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
62%

Diletta Cherubini
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Alves's performance.

Diletta Cherubini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diletta Cherubini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diletta Cherubini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carolina Alves - Diletta Cherubini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 285. Cherubini is ranked WTA: 469.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Carolina Alves - Ia Reyes Romero	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Doga Turkmen - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Carolina Alves - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carolina Alves - Ilay Yoruk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW
- Diletta Cherubini
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Diletta Cherubini - Ximena Senties	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Diletta Cherubini - Despina Papamichail	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Katherine Sebov - Diletta Cherubini	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Whitney Osuigwe - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Tatiana Pieri - Diletta Cherubini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWLW

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