Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Brescia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday


	Carolina Alves		Kyoka Okamura

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.21
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
55.1%

Kyoka Okamura
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Alves's performance.

Kyoka Okamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoka Okamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoka Okamura than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 283. Okamura is ranked WTA: 180.

Recent performances by Alves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Okamura has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Okamura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Carolina Alves - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Kyoka Okamura - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
WTA Rabat
19.05.25	Carolina Alves - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Carolina Alves - Sada Nahimana	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Carol Zhao - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Gergana Topalova - Carolina Alves	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Gabriela Ce - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Kyoka Okamura
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.05.25	Kyoka Okamura - Renata Jamrichova	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Kyoka Okamura	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Kyoka Okamura - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Lanlana Tararudee - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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