Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Caroline Werner		Malaika Rapolu

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.7	1.41
	2.78	1.45
	2.72	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.62)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Werner
34.1%

Malaika Rapolu
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Werner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Malaika Rapolu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaika Rapolu than the current prediction. (-4%)

Caroline Werner - Malaika Rapolu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Werner is ranked WTA: 267. Rapolu is ranked WTA: 333.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Werner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rapolu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Caroline Werner - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Malaika Rapolu - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Werner
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Caroline Werner - Hannah Klugman	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Caroline Werner - Oceane Dodin	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Caroline Werner - Elena Micic	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Veronika Podrez - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
22.08.26	Caroline Werner - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL
- Malaika Rapolu
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Malaika Rapolu - Katie Swan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Malaika Rapolu - Paula Cembranos	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Malaika Rapolu - Linda Fruhvirtova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

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