Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Caty McNally		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.86	1.96
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.66)	1.93 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caty McNally
51.4%

Jessica Pieri
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caty McNally's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caty McNally, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Caty McNally - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: Caty McNally will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McNally is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pieri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McNally could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caty McNally
ITF Tournaments
05.05.21	Harriet Dart - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston 2
12.04.21	Shelby Rogers - Caty McNally	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
08.04.21	Caty McNally - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Caty McNally - Anastasija Sevastova	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	Elena Rybakina - Caty McNally	Rybakina E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLW?
- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
14.05.21	Olga Danilovic - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
13.05.21	Kateryna Baindl - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
11.05.21	Jessica Pieri - Timea Babos	2:1 ✺
01.05.21	Anhelina Kalinina - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
30.04.21	Barbara Haas - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW

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