Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Cem Ilkel		Henri Laaksonen

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.04
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.74	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.52)	1.98 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cem Ilkel
52.9%

Henri Laaksonen
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cem Ilkel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cem Ilkel's form might have worsened.

Henri Laaksonen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henri Laaksonen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cem Ilkel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Laaksonen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henri Laaksonen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Cem Ilkel - Henri Laaksonen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ilkel will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Laaksonen will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilkel: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player are in an unacceptable form.

Ilkel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ilkel will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Cem Ilkel - Gabi Adrian Boitan	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Cem Ilkel - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Cem Ilkel - Antoine Hoang	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Fabian Marozsan - Cem Ilkel	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Zsombor Piros - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWL?L
- Henri Laaksonen
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Henri Laaksonen	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Henri Laaksonen - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Henri Laaksonen - Goncalo Falcao	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Joao Domingues - Henri Laaksonen	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Henri Laaksonen - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Cem Ilkel - Henri Laaksonen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide