Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kashiwa, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Chase Ferguson		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	2.19	1.69
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.44)	1.65 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chase Ferguson
43.5%

Moerani Bouzige
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chase Ferguson's performance.

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moerani Bouzige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+1%)

Chase Ferguson - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferguson is ranked ATP: 675. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 463.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ferguson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bouzige will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferguson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Chase Ferguson - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Chase Ferguson - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Chase Ferguson - Hanyi Liu	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Chase Ferguson - Evgeny Philippov	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Fajing Sun - Chase Ferguson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL
- Moerani Bouzige
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Hyu Kawanishi - Moerani Bouzige	Kawanishi H. Retired ✺
01.04.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Matthew Summers - Moerani Bouzige	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Hunter Heck - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Enzo Aguiard - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.02.25	Chase Ferguson - Moerani Bouzige	1:2

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