Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Claire Liu		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.88	1.42
	2.77	1.45
	2.8	1.49
	2.75	1.44
	2.72	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.89)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Claire Liu
34.3%

Marta Kostyuk
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Claire Liu - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Liu will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liu: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Liu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kostyuk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kostyuk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Liu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
WTA Roma
10.05.23	Camilla Rosatello - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Greetje Minnen - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.23	Yulia Putintseva - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.23	Claire Liu - Bernarda Pera	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
25.03.23	Claire Liu - Martina Trevisan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Madrid
27.04.23	Marta Kostyuk - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
15.04.23	Marta Kostyuk - Barbora Krejcikova	2:1 ✺
14.04.23	Marta Kostyuk - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.23	Anastasia Potapova - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Marta Kostyuk - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
19.02.22	Marta Kostyuk - Claire Liu	2:0
WTA Melbourne Summer Set 2
04.01.22	Claire Liu - Marta Kostyuk	2:1

Claire Liu - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide