Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: PUERTO VALLARTA (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Claire Liu		McCartney Kessler

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.09
	1.67	2.1
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)	2.09 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Claire Liu
54.9%

McCartney Kessler
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Claire Liu's form might have worsened.

McCartney Kessler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting McCartney Kessler's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Claire Liu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for McCartney Kessler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Claire Liu - McCartney Kessler Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Liu will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kessler will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liu: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Liu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kessler is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kessler could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Claire Liu - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Hua Hin
30.01.24	Linda Fruhvirtova - Claire Liu	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
08.01.24	Claire Liu - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Claire Liu - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?LLW
- McCartney Kessler
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	McCartney Kessler - Natalija Stevanovic	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	McCartney Kessler - Liv Hovde	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.24	Liv Hovde - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	McCartney Kessler - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
02.02.24	McCartney Kessler - Robin Montgomery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Claire Liu - McCartney Kessler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide