Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Claire Liu		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.52
	2.49	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.53	Watch
	2.49	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Claire Liu
37.5%

Renata Zarazua
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Claire Liu - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Liu is ranked WTA: 221. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 82.

Recent performances by Liu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zarazua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zarazua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zarazua is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Zarazua will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Liu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Mai Hontama - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Claire Liu - Eszter Meri	2:0 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
28.10.25	Kaja Juvan - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
WTA Guangzhou
25.10.25	Lulu Sun - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Claire Liu - Ella Seidel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW
- Renata Zarazua
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Hina Inoue - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Alana Smith	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

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