Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Mrozinska M. (Pol)


	Clara Tauson		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.48	2.5
	1.51	2.62
	1.51	2.62
	1.44	2.62
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.33)	2.59 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clara Tauson
63.7%

Rebecca Sramkova
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clara Tauson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Clara Tauson's form might have worsened.

Rebecca Sramkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebecca Sramkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clara Tauson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebecca Sramkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Clara Tauson - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tauson will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sramkova will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tauson: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tauson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tauson will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tauson won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clara Tauson
ATP Challenger
21.04.24	Clara Tauson - Suzan Lamens	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. walkover ✺
19.04.24	Clara Tauson - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Clara Tauson - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Clara Tauson - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?WWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Leolia Jeanjean	Canceled ✺
05.04.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
18.03.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
28.06.23	Clara Tauson - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0
WTA Lugano
07.04.19	Clara Tauson - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0

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