Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Castellon, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castellon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Claudia Ferrer Perez		Lucia Cortez Llorca

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Claudia Ferrer Perez
32%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
68%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claudia Ferrer Perez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Claudia Ferrer Perez's form might have worsened.

Lucia Cortez Llorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Cortez Llorca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Claudia Ferrer Perez than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ferrer Perez is ranked WTA: 869. Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 644.

Ferrer Perez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cortez Llorca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cortez Llorca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cortez Llorca is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claudia Ferrer Perez
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Defne Cirpanli - Claudia Ferrer Perez	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Carmen Lopez Martinez	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Defne Cirpanli - Claudia Ferrer Perez	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Stefaniya Pushkar - Claudia Ferrer Perez	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Celia Cervino Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Judith Hernandez Miranda - Lucia Cortez Llorca	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Shannon Lam	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Diana Martynov	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Sara Dols - Lucia Cortez Llorca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Claudia Ferrer Perez - Lucia Cortez Llorca