Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mosquera (Colombia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday


	Collin Altamirano		Ivan Denisov

	1	2
	1.28	3.2
	1.3	3.2
	1.3	3.33
	1.3	3.33
	1.33	3.25
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.31	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	3.18 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collin Altamirano
70.7%

Ivan Denisov
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collin Altamirano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ivan Denisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collin Altamirano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collin Altamirano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Denisov than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ivan Denisov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Altamirano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Denisov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altamirano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Altamirano is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Collin Altamirano
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Collin Altamirano - Juan Sebastian Osorio	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.04.24	Juan Estevez - Collin Altamirano	2:1 ✺
10.04.24	Oren Vasser - Collin Altamirano	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Collin Altamirano - Bor Artnak	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Collin Altamirano - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Ivan Denisov
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Felix Corwin - Ivan Denisov	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Ivan Denisov	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Ivan Denisov - Preston Brown	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Ivan Denisov - Yshai Oliel	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Seita Watanabe - Ivan Denisov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW

Collin Altamirano - Ivan Denisov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide