Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Redding, CA, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Redding 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Connie Ma		Lea Ma

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Connie Ma
64.7%

Lea Ma
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connie Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connie Ma than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ma is ranked WTA: 285..

Ma is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Ma have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ma is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connie Ma
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Maria Sholokhova - Connie Ma	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Connie Ma - Jo-Yee Chan	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Connie Ma - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Janae Preston - Connie Ma	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Connie Ma - Akasha Urhobo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW
- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Salma Drugdova - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Sydney Jara - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Kailey Evans - Lea Ma	Canceled ✺
09.10.26	Madison Brengle - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Hina Inoue - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WW?LW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Connie Ma - Lea Ma