Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Constant Lestienne		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.85	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.21
	4.34	1.22
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.52	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.07)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
24.6%

Brandon Nakashima
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constant Lestienne's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.9%	0%	85.1%

Constant Lestienne - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lestienne is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
27.01.21	Constant Lestienne - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
26.01.21	Denis Kudla - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.21	Constant Lestienne - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
12.01.21	Prajnesh Gunneswaran - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
11.01.21	Liam Broady - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
27.01.21	Brandon Nakashima - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
26.01.21	Maxime Janvier - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
21.01.21	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
19.01.21	Brandon Nakashima - Cem Ilkel	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.21	Aslan Karatsev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

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