Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsaghkadzor 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Corentin Denolly		Niklas Guttau

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.96	1.72
	1.85	1.97
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.82	1.94
	1.79	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.56)	1.85 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
50%

Niklas Guttau
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.

Niklas Guttau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niklas Guttau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niklas Guttau than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niklas Guttau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Corentin Denolly - Niklas Guttau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 440. Guttau is ranked ATP: 809.

Denolly is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guttau is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Corentin Denolly - Dmitry Dolzhenkov	2:0
09.09.26	Corentin Denolly - Mikhail Khodorchenko	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Corentin Denolly - Oliwier Sterniczuk	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Juan Ignacio Gallego - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Bastian Berenz - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWWLW
- Niklas Guttau
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Matteo Vavassori - Niklas Guttau	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Mikayel Avanesyan - Niklas Guttau	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Niklas Guttau - Michael Savano	Guttau N. Retired ✺
27.08.26	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Niklas Guttau	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Niklas Guttau - Kacper Knitter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WW?WW

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