Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sabadell, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Cristina Diaz Adrover		Martha Matoula

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	2.02	1.81
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.79	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.07)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cristina Diaz Adrover
49.7%

Martha Matoula
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cristina Diaz Adrover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cristina Diaz Adrover's performance.

Martha Matoula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martha Matoula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Diaz Adrover than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cristina Diaz Adrover that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martha Matoula than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martha Matoula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cristina Diaz Adrover - Martha Matoula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Adrover is ranked WTA: 387. Matoula is ranked WTA: 368.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Diaz Adrover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cristina Diaz Adrover
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Camilla Gennaro - Cristina Diaz Adrover	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Lauryn John-Baptiste	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Leticia Solakov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Polina Berezina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Martha Matoula
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Sada Nahimana - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Martha Matoula - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Martha Matoula - Britt Du Pree	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Martha Matoula - Sabine Rutlauka	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Caroline Dolehide - Martha Matoula	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL

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