Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Orleans 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Cyril Vandermeersch		Norbert Gombos

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Cyril Vandermeersch
35.5%

Norbert Gombos
64.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cyril Vandermeersch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cyril Vandermeersch's form might have worsened.

Norbert Gombos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norbert Gombos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Gombos (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gombos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 640. Gombos is ranked ATP: 322.

Recent performances by Vandermeersch have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gombos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gombos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gombos could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Maxence Beauge - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Louis Larue	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Cyril Vandermeersch	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Axel Garcian - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Cannon Kingsley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Harold Mayot - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
27.08.25	Norbert Gombos - Alberto Barroso Campos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLW?L

Cyril Vandermeersch - Norbert Gombos