Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Damir Dzumhur		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
			Watch
	3.78	1.3
			Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.48	1.31	Watch
	3.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
27.4%

Arthur Rinderknech
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Rinderknech (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arthur Rinderknech will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 68. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 80.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rinderknech is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dzumhur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Damir Dzumhur	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Damir Dzumhur	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?LWWL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP London
20.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Johannus Monday - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.01.24	Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1
08.11.23	Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2

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