Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Daniel Michalski		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.95
	1.75	1.9
	1.86	2.02
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.84	1.97
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.09)	1.96 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
52.1%

Calvin Hemery
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Michalski's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Michalski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Michalski - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 302. Hemery is ranked ATP: 291.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Michalski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Daniel Michalski - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Daniel Michalski - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Daniel Michalski - Jelle Sels	Sels J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLL?
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Calvin Hemery - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Calvin Hemery	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
02.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Lucio Ratti - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 L?WW?

Daniel Michalski - Calvin Hemery: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide