Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.45	1.49
	2.71	1.51
	2.58	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.49
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.42	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
36.8%

Calvin Hemery
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliakim Coulibaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 314. Hemery is ranked ATP: 291.

Coulibaly is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hemery has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hemery might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coulibaly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Alexander Vasilev	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Pavel Lagutin - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Eliakim Coulibaly	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Francisco Rocha	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Patrick Schoen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WW??W
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Lucio Ratti - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. Retired ✺
09.06.26	Calvin Hemery - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Khololwam Montsi - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Calvin Hemery - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2

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