Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 LODZ (POLAND), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Daniel Paty		Olaf Pieczkowski

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.8	1.92
	1.63	2.19
	1.83	1.83
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.04)	1.99 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Paty
53.4%

Olaf Pieczkowski
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Paty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Paty's performance.

Olaf Pieczkowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olaf Pieczkowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Paty than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Paty that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaf Pieczkowski than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olaf Pieczkowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Paty is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pieczkowski is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pieczkowski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Paty
ITF Tournaments
09.08.23	Timo Stodder - Daniel Paty	0:2 ✺
30.07.23	Nicola Kuhn - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Daniel Paty - Liam Gavrielides	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Philip Florig - Daniel Paty	1:2 ✺
27.07.23	Daniel Paty - Aleksandre Metreveli	Metreveli A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWW?
- Olaf Pieczkowski
ITF Tournaments
09.08.23	Milos Karol - Olaf Pieczkowski	1:2 ✺
06.07.23	Eric Vanshelboim - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Dax Donders - Olaf Pieczkowski	1:2 ✺
29.06.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
28.06.23	Olaf Pieczkowski - Filip Duda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Daniel Paty - Olaf Pieczkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide