Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Szczawno (Poland), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday


	Daniel Paty		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
	1.52	2.31
	1.53	2.34
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.52	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)	2.34 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Paty
60.4%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Paty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Paty's performance.

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergio Callejon Hernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Paty than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Paty that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergio Callejon Hernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Paty - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paty is ranked ATP: 942. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 1073.

Recent matches Paty is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Callejon Hernando is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paty could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paty will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Paty
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Daniel Paty - Bruno Kokot	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Dominik Kellovsky - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Daniel Paty - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Nino Serdarusic - Daniel Paty	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Jelle Sels - Daniel Paty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWL
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ITF Tournaments
27.08.24	Vesa Ahti - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
06.08.24	Alvaro Bueno Gil - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Eliakim Coulibaly - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

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