Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TAMPERE (FINLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Daniel Rincon		Lorenzo Rottoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	4
	1.18	4.7
	1.2	4.69
	1.22	4
	1.25	3.65	Watch
	1.19	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.19 ↑ (3.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
77.6%

Lorenzo Rottoli
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Rottoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Rincon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Rottoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Rincon - Lorenzo Rottoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rottoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rincon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rincon is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
15.07.23	Richard Gasquet - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Daniel Rincon - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Daniel Rincon - Leandro Riedi	Riedi L. retired ✺
10.07.23	Daniel Rincon - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWW?W
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ATP Challenger
17.07.23	Matthew Dellavedova - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Siim Troost - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Gabriele Piraino - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	Jules Marie - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

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