Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Amersfoort (Netherlands), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Witte T. (Ned)


	Daniel Rincon		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.61	Watch
	2.08	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
42.9%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniel Rincon - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pucinelli De Almeida: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pucinelli De Almeida is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rincon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rincon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Robert Strombachs - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Daniel Rincon - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Mathys Erhard - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.24	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
15.07.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Marcello Serafini - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Tomas Farjat	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Samuel Heredia	2:0 ✺
18.06.24	Hady Habib - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Daniel Rincon - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2

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