Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bastad 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bastad 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniele Rapagnetta		Filip Gustafsson

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Daniele Rapagnetta
54.8%

Filip Gustafsson
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniele Rapagnetta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Filip Gustafsson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniele Rapagnetta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Gustafsson than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Rapagnetta is ranked ATP: 1133. Gustafsson is ranked ATP: 1669.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gustafsson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniele Rapagnetta
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Emile Hudd - Daniele Rapagnetta	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Alexandre Aubriot	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Federico Iannaccone - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLLW
- Filip Gustafsson
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Filip Gustafsson - Rodrigo Alujas	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Filip Gustafsson - Jonathan Mridha	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Filip Gustafsson - Eric Vanshelboim	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Filip Gustafsson - Mikolaj Lorens	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Filip Gustafsson - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Daniele Rapagnetta - Filip Gustafsson