Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MORELOS (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Daniil Glinka		Ajeet Rai

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.39	1.53
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.97)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
39.8%

Ajeet Rai
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Glinka's form might have worsened.

Ajeet Rai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajeet Rai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Glinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajeet Rai than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajeet Rai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniil Glinka - Ajeet Rai Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Glinka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rai will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Glinka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rai will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ITF Tournaments
29.03.23	Daniil Glinka - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.03.23	Jurgen Briand - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Sem Verbeek - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.23	Daniil Glinka - Kacper Zuk	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Daniil Glinka - Kalin Ivanovski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Ajeet Rai
ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Ajeet Rai - Nick Chappell	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	Nick Chappell - Ajeet Rai	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Colin Markes - Ajeet Rai	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Ajeet Rai - Marc Polmans	Rai A. retired ✺
16.03.23	Ajeet Rai - Matthew Dellavedova	Dellavedova M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLW??

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