Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Daniil Glinka		Daniel Jade

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Daniil Glinka
74.1%

Daniel Jade
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Glinka's performance.

Daniel Jade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Jade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Jade than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Glinka is ranked ATP: 173., and Jade is ranked ATP: 643..

Glinka is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jade is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Glinka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Mathys Erhard - Daniil Glinka	Erhard M. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Ryan Peniston - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Zsombor Piros - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 L?WLL
- Daniel Jade
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Mathys Domenc - Daniel Jade	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Daniel Jade - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Boys Singles US Open
09.09.26	Daniel Jade - Jordan Lee	0:2
07.09.26	Vihaan Reddy - Daniel Jade	0:2
06.09.26	Daniel Jade - Mason Vaughan	Vaughan M. Retired
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLW?

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Daniil Glinka - Daniel Jade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide