Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Mathys Erhard		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.32	1.62
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.58
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.78)	1.62 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
42.5%

Daniil Glinka
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Glinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mathys Erhard - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 339. Glinka is ranked ATP: 156.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Glinka might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Benjamin Pietri - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Charles Broom - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Anton Shepp - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Ryan Peniston - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Zsombor Piros - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

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