Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Glinka		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.75	1.95
	1.81	1.95
	1.88	1.99
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.86	1.93
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.90	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
51.2%

Elias Ymer
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniil Glinka - Elias Ymer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 160. Ymer is ranked ATP: 212.

Glinka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ymer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ymer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Elias Ymer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Alexander Donski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Amit Vales - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Faris Zakaryia - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Elias Ymer - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Federico Cina - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Trevor Svajda - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Elias Ymer - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW

Daniil Glinka - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide