Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Daniil Glinka		Florent Bax

	1	2
	1.48	2.50
	1.56	2.38
	1.51	2.60
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)	2.43 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
61.5%

Florent Bax
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Glinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florent Bax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 160. Bax is ranked ATP: 247.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Glinka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.53%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Florent Bax - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Alexander Donski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Amit Vales - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Faris Zakaryia - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Daniil Glinka - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Arthur Weber - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Gabriel Debru - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.02.25	Daniil Glinka - Florent Bax	2:0

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